Archive for the 'Technology' Category

Amara’s Law and Martin’s Corollary

Friday, October 5th, 2007

Roy Amara was apparently the person who said “We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.” It’s a great observation, but my friend Charles Martin gave me an even better twist on it: “Change happens exponentially but we think linearly.” […]